NFL Wins Pool Update
Last updated October 26, 2021
Standings
| Rank | Team | Wins | Remaining Games | Win % | Win % Rank | Projected Wins (FPI) | Projected Rank (FPI) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Steve Creaser | 16 | 28 | 80.0% | 1 | 35.8 | 1 |
| 2 | Dan Ellenberger | 15 | 28 | 75.0% | 2 | 33.4 | 2 |
| 3 | Andrew Batchelor | 12 | 29 | 63.2% | 3 | 27.6 | 4 |
| 4 | Nick Boucher | 11 | 29 | 57.9% | 4 | 25.5 | 6 |
| 4 | Mike Thorne | 11 | 28 | 55.0% | 5 | 27.9 | 3 |
| 4 | Matt Hogel | 11 | 28 | 55.0% | 5 | 27.0 | 5 |
| 7 | Gavin Gray | 10 | 27 | 47.6% | 7 | 25.4 | 7 |
| 8 | Luke Phelan | 8 | 28 | 40.0% | 8 | 23.9 | 8 |
| 9 | Andrew Moeller | 7 | 27 | 33.3% | 9 | 19.6 | 9 |
| 10 | Karl Loiseau | 5 | 28 | 25.0% | 10 | 19.0 | 10 |
- Projected wins taken from ESPN FPI projections.
Expanded Standings
| Team | Wins |
Projected Wins |
Next Opponent |
Win Probability in Next Game |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steve Creaser | ||||
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 6 | 13.4 | @NO | 0.67 |
| Cincinnati Bengals | 5 | 10.5 | @NYJ | 0.81 |
| Dallas Cowboys | 5 | 11.9 | @MIN | 0.59 |
| Dan Ellenberger | ||||
| Arizona Cardinals | 7 | 13.7 | GB | 0.72 |
| Tennessee Titans | 5 | 10.8 | @IND | 0.54 |
| Minnesota Vikings | 3 | 8.9 | DAL | 0.41 |
| Andrew Batchelor | ||||
| Baltimore Ravens | 5 | 10.6 | BYE | |
| New Orleans Saints | 4 | 10.1 | TB | 0.33 |
| Atlanta Falcons | 3 | 6.9 | CAR | 0.61 |
| Matt Hogel | ||||
| Los Angeles Rams | 6 | 12.5 | @HOU | 0.89 |
| Carolina Panthers | 3 | 6.8 | @ATL | 0.39 |
| San Francisco 49ers | 2 | 7.7 | @CHI | 0.61 |
| Mike Thorne | ||||
| Las Vegas Raiders | 5 | 9.6 | BYE | |
| Buffalo Bills | 4 | 12.5 | MIA | 0.87 |
| New York Giants | 2 | 5.8 | @KC | 0.19 |
| Nick Boucher | ||||
| Green Bay Packers | 6 | 11.4 | @ARI | 0.28 |
| Los Angeles Chargers | 4 | 10.3 | NE | 0.69 |
| New York Jets | 1 | 3.8 | CIN | 0.19 |
| Gavin Gray | ||||
| Cleveland Browns | 4 | 9.2 | PIT | 0.62 |
| Denver Broncos | 3 | 8.1 | WAS | 0.61 |
| New England Patriots | 3 | 8.1 | @LAC | 0.31 |
| Luke Phelan | ||||
| Indianapolis Colts | 3 | 8.7 | TEN | 0.46 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 3 | 8.1 | @CLE | 0.38 |
| Philadelphia Eagles | 2 | 7.1 | @DET | 0.62 |
| Andrew Moeller | ||||
| Chicago Bears | 3 | 6.5 | SF | 0.39 |
| Seattle Seahawks | 2 | 7.6 | JAX | 0.61 |
| Washington | 2 | 5.5 | @DEN | 0.39 |
| Karl Loiseau | ||||
| Kansas City Chiefs | 3 | 8.9 | NYG | 0.81 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 1 | 4.4 | @SEA | 0.39 |
| Miami Dolphins | 1 | 5.7 | @BUF | 0.13 |
- Win probability calculated from consensus vegas point spreads
Weekly Head-to-Heads
Leverage measured by:* Circles to the top right are games between people closest to first place
* Bigger circles indicate games that are more likely to be closely contested
Draft Analysis
| Team | Wins |
Draft Spot |
Expected Wins |
Performance vs. Expectation |
Better Choices |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steve Creaser | |||||
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 6 | 1 | 7 | -1 | 1 |
| Dallas Cowboys | 5 | 20 | 3 | 2 | 0 |
| Cincinnati Bengals | 5 | 27 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| Dan Ellenberger | |||||
| Tennessee Titans | 5 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| Arizona Cardinals | 7 | 17 | 3 | 4 | 0 |
| Minnesota Vikings | 3 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 1 |
| Andrew Batchelor | |||||
| Baltimore Ravens | 5 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 2 |
| New Orleans Saints | 4 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Atlanta Falcons | 3 | 26 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Nick Boucher | |||||
| Green Bay Packers | 6 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 1 |
| Los Angeles Chargers | 4 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| New York Jets | 1 | 30 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Mike Thorne | |||||
| Buffalo Bills | 4 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 6 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 5 | 18 | 3 | 2 | 0 |
| New York Giants | 2 | 25 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| Matt Hogel | |||||
| Los Angeles Rams | 6 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 |
| San Francisco 49ers | 2 | 11 | 4 | -2 | 12 |
| Carolina Panthers | 3 | 28 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Gavin Gray | |||||
| Cleveland Browns | 4 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| New England Patriots | 3 | 12 | 4 | -1 | 6 |
| Denver Broncos | 3 | 24 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Luke Phelan | |||||
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 3 | 9 | 5 | -2 | 7 |
| Indianapolis Colts | 3 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 5 |
| Philadelphia Eagles | 2 | 23 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
| Andrew Moeller | |||||
| Seattle Seahawks | 2 | 6 | 5 | -3 | 16 |
| Washington | 2 | 19 | 3 | -1 | 6 |
| Chicago Bears | 3 | 22 | 3 | 0 | 1 |
| Karl Loiseau | |||||
| Kansas City Chiefs | 3 | 2 | 6 | -3 | 12 |
| Miami Dolphins | 1 | 16 | 3 | -2 | 12 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 1 | 29 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Draft Results
